Jumps, Sprints & All-Weather Thrills! A Betting Bonanza on 07/03/25!

Hobbyist Trixie Strategy
Bankroll Status
19th to 25th January 2025
Starting Bankroll £30
5th March 2025 top-up total £90
Wk 1 £35 Wk 2 £32.01 Wk 3 -£18.12
Wk 4 £30.31 WK 5 £33.76 Wk 6 -£20.39

WEEK7 £39.44 (4th top-up £30)
Sun - -£3.12
Mon - -£7.00
Tue - -£0.75
Wed - -£4.44
Thrs - £4.50
Fri - £0.14
Sat - £
Combination Tricast Betting Strategy A one-off experiment Return £2.50 25/2/25

Note from Coldjack: Another near miss for both Patents and a profitable return. Using extra place races for the E/W Patent is so obvious and ashamed it took me so long to wake up. We go again!

Betfair Sportsbook odds were placed at 12:50

Patent @7 Lines
Its A Breeze | King Of The Lake | Bampton Star
Stake £3.50 (7 x £0.50)
Returns £25.09 returned £5.08

(Each Way) Patent @14 Lines
Jacksbar | Coconut Twist | Devils Angel
Stake £3.50 (14 x £0.25) Extra places update
Returns £89.07 returned £1.78

Stakes £7.00 Winning £00.00 (P/L) losing £0.14
Modest returns for the 'Trickey Trixie'
Patent punting for the 'zsar bomba' of booms!
(1pt = £1 Pick Your Own Point Level & Runners)

Critique & Debrief – Full Performance Analysis (07/03/25 Racing)

A detailed review of your structured bets, individual race breakdowns, market movements, and key takeaways for refining your betting approach.

Section 1: Structured Bets Assessment (Patent #1 & #2)

📌 Patent Bet #1: The Consistency Play (Win Patent)

Selections & Results

✅ 14:40 Exeter – Its A Breeze (4th, unplaced) ❌
✅ 15:10 Exeter – King Of The Lake (🏆 1st, Won) ✅
✅ 16:20 Exeter – Bampton Star (🏆 1st, Won) ✅

Betting Summary

• Stake: £3.50 (7 x £0.50)

• Returns: £5.08

• Profit/Loss: -£1.92

Performance Analysis

1️⃣ Its A Breeze – Missed the frame, costing the treble payout.

• Market confidence was high, but weak finish despite a prominent early run.

• Tactical error? Could have needed softer ground or a slower pace.

• Next time: Evaluate if a step up in trip suits.

2️⃣ King Of The Lake – Won convincingly as expected.

• The best-rated runner in the race, confirmed by an easy victory.

• Smart bet—this type of horse is key to consistency-based patents.

3️⃣ Bampton Star – Delivered under pressure.

• Track specialist, loves Exeter.

• Short-head win shows he wasn’t at his absolute best but still had enough.

• Lesson: Course specialists remain gold in handicaps.

Key Takeaways for Future Bets

✅ Win Patent nearly landed but missed due to a single underperformance.
✅ Correct approach—two clear winners prove selection strategy was mostly sound.
❌ To improve: Consider a Forecast/Tricast saver in case of one weak link.

📌 Patent Bet #2: The All-Ways Patent (Each-Way Play)

Selections & Results

✅ 16:50 Exeter – Jacksbar (2nd, placed) ✅
✅ 17:22 Exeter – Coconut Twist (3rd, placed) ✅
✅ 18:00 Dundalk – Devils Angel (5th, missed places) ❌

Betting Summary

• Stake: £3.50 (14 x £0.25 E/W)

• Returns: £1.78

• Profit/Loss: -£1.72

Performance Analysis

1️⃣ Jacksbar – Ran a big race but found one too good.

• Race shape played against him—fast finishers benefited from the pace.

• Right selection, just didn’t get the win.

2️⃣ Coconut Twist – Hit the frame but never looked like winning.

• Consistent but lacks tactical speed—good in strong-run races but poor in tactical affairs.

3️⃣ Devils Angel – Disappointed, finishing 5th.

• Found little in the final furlong—flat sprinters over 6f at Dundalk need strong finishes, which he lacked.

• Lesson: Avoid older horses in quick sprints—younger improvers fare better.

Key Takeaways for Future Bets

✅ Each-way strategy mostly worked, with 2 places keeping returns alive.
❌ Devils Angel underperformed—older sprinters are unreliable.
❌ Returns too low for risk taken—possibly use Lucky 15 instead.

Full Race-by-Race Review – Predictions vs Actual Results (07/03/25)

A meticulous breakdown of each race, comparing pre-race predictions with actual results, analysing race shape, market movements, and key takeaways.

🏇 14:40 Exeter – 2m1f Maiden Hurdle

Predictions:
✅ Win Selection: In Limbo (🏆 Won, 8/13 fav) ✅
❌ 2nd Place Prediction: Its A Breeze (Finished 4th, out of places) ❌
✅ 3rd Place Prediction: Zainy Champ (Finished 2nd, 11/2) ✅

Actual Top 4 Finishers:
1️⃣ In Limbo (8/13 fav) – Strong ride, won comfortably.
2️⃣ Zainy Champ (11/2) – Big run at decent odds, confirmed promise.
3️⃣ What U Wanna Do Is (20/1) – Unexpected placer, drifted but ran well.
4️⃣ Its A Breeze (missed places) – Ran below expectations, faded late.

Race Analysis:

• In Limbo justified strong market support and delivered as expected.

• Its A Breeze underperformed, indicating either fitness issues or unsuitability for pace.

• Zainy Champ (2nd) was a strong each-way bet, confirming the form line.

📌 Key Takeaway: Trust the market in maiden hurdles—In Limbo’s support was justified.
📌 Adjustment Needed: Be wary of novices from big yards that don’t progress as expected (Its A Breeze).

🏇 15:10 Exeter – 2m1f Handicap Hurdle

Predictions:
✅ Win Selection: King Of The Lake (🏆 Won, 9/5 fav) ✅
❌ 2nd Place Prediction: Imaginarium (Unplaced, faded badly) ❌
❌ 3rd Place Prediction: Thistle Be The One (Unplaced, failed to quicken) ❌

Actual Top 4 Finishers:
1️⃣ King Of The Lake (9/5 fav) – Won easily, form upheld.
2️⃣ Manuelito (10/1) – Surprise runner-up, outsider ran well.
3️⃣ Cornish Storm (22/1) – Another big-priced placegetter.
4️⃣ Valadon (7/1) – Held on for 4th in a tightly contested finish.

Race Analysis:

• King Of The Lake confirmed his class, winning with authority.

• Manuelito (10/1) and Cornish Storm (22/1) were both overlooked in market—watch improving handicappers at prices.

• Imaginarium never travelled well, suggesting a fitness or ground issue.

📌 Key Takeaway: Favs in handicap hurdles with unexposed profiles hold up well.
📌 Adjustment Needed: Consider backing improving, unexposed handicappers at double-digit odds.

🏇 15:45 Exeter – 2m3f Handicap Chase

Predictions:
❌ Win Selection: Joe Cotton (Finished 3rd, 3/1 fav) ❌
❌ 2nd Place Prediction: Haas Boy (Unplaced, never in contention) ❌
❌ 3rd Place Prediction: Largy Force (Unplaced, faded badly late on) ❌

Actual Top 4 Finishers:
1️⃣ Captain Boudet (5/1) – Strong winner, travelled well.
2️⃣ Rangatira Jack (8/1) – Big improvement, unexpected second.
3️⃣ Joe Cotton (3/1 fav) – Held on for a place, not strong in finish.
4️⃣ Hatos (6/1) – Stayed on but never looked like winning.

Race Analysis:

• Joe Cotton (3rd) was disappointing given his strong form.

• **Captain Boudet (5/1) surprised, suggesting trainer/jockey form was key.

• Haas Boy underperformed, possibly didn’t handle track conditions.

📌 Key Takeaway: Favourites in weak-class chases are unreliable—look at trainer/jockey trends.
📌 Adjustment Needed: In future, pay closer attention to late market moves in weak chases.

🏇 16:20 Exeter – 3m Handicap Chase

Predictions:
✅ Win Selection: Bampton Star (🏆 Won, 15/8 fav) ✅
✅ 2nd Place Prediction: Shot Boii (Finished 3rd, 9/2) ✅
❌ 3rd Place Prediction: Another Lord (Finished 4th, weakened late) ❌

Actual Top 4 Finishers:
1️⃣ Bampton Star (15/8 fav) – Defended his title, Exeter specialist.
2️⃣ To Be Sure (20/1) – Massive price, nearly caused an upset.
3️⃣ Shot Boii (9/2) – Ran as expected, solid.
4️⃣ Another Lord (11/4) – Faded late, unable to see out race.

Race Analysis:

• Bampton Star's course form held true—specialists at tracks matter.

• To Be Sure (20/1) almost upset the field—big prices in staying chases often go close.

• Shot Boii was a consistent placer but never a win threat.

📌 Key Takeaway: Track specialists should always be backed.
📌 Adjustment Needed: In staying chases, include a longshot in betting combinations.

🏇 18:00 Dundalk – 6f Handicap

Predictions:
✅ Win Selection: Im Spartacus (Finished 3rd, 4/1 JF) ✅
❌ 2nd Place Prediction: Dream Today (Finished 11th, never a factor) ❌
✅ 3rd Place Prediction: Rattletheonionbag (Finished 2nd, 17/2) ✅

Actual Top 4 Finishers:
1️⃣ Velvet Skies (9/2) – Timed run perfectly to win.
2️⃣ Rattletheonionbag (17/2) – Each-way bet landed, strong finish.
3️⃣ Im Spartacus (4/1 JF) – Ran well but just missed out.
4️⃣ Winemaker (4/1 JF) – Faded but ran respectably.

Race Analysis:

• Velvet Skies (9/2) benefited from perfect ride.

• Rattletheonionbag (17/2) was a fantastic each-way selection.

• Dream Today (11th) was poor—older horses in quick sprints are unreliable.

📌 Key Takeaway: Dundalk sprints favour improving, younger horses—older handicappers are risky.
📌 Adjustment Needed: Avoid old handicappers unless in peak form.

Pre-racing Preview Predictions

Patent Bet #1: The Consistency Play (Low-Risk, High-Probability Selections)

🔹 Bet Type: Win Patent (7 lines)
🔹 Stake: £3.50 (7 x £0.50)
🔹 Potential Returns: £25.09

Selections

1️⃣ 14:40 Exeter – Its A Breeze (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️☆)
2️⃣ 15:10 Exeter – King Of The Lake (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
3️⃣ 16:20 Exeter – Bampton Star (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️☆)

✅ Rationale:
✔ Its A Breeze: Progressive, placed last time, from a top yard.
✔ King Of The Lake: Escapes a penalty for back-to-back wins, still improving.
✔ Bampton Star: Won this race last year, track specialist, conditions ideal.

Patent Bet #2: The All-Ways Patent (Higher-Risk E/W Play with Extra Places Considered)

🔹 Bet Type: Each-Way Patent (14 lines)
🔹 Stake: £3.50 (14 x £0.25 E/W)
🔹 Potential Returns: £89.07

Selections

1️⃣ 16:50 Exeter – Jacksbar (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️☆) (4 Places Available)
2️⃣ 17:22 Exeter – Coconut Twist (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️☆) (4 Places Available)
3️⃣ 18:00 Dundalk – Devils Angel (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️☆) (4 Places Available)

✅ Rationale:
✔ Jacksbar: Unexposed, improving, trainer in strong form.
✔ Coconut Twist: Course winner, consistent, well-suited to step up in trip.
✔ Devils Angel: Well-handicapped, conditions suit, competitive in strong 6f handicaps.

Summary of Bets & Potential Returns

✔ Patent #1 (Win Patent – 7 Bets)

• Its A Breeze | King Of The Lake | Bampton Star

• Stake: £3.50

• Returns: £25.09

✔ Patent #2 (Each-Way Patent – 14 Bets, Extra Places Used)

• Jacksbar | Coconut Twist | Devils Angel (18:00 Dundalk)

• Stake: £3.50

• Returns: £89.07

🔹 Total Stake: £7.00

Max Potential Returns: £114.16

🚀 Best of luck with your bets!

Gamble Responsibly! Keep the wit sharp and the bets smarter—the universe still owes us all a winning streak! 😆🔥

Notes from AJ the Hobbyist: I'm waiting until much closer to off time to see which Hobby Picks are drifters or steamers, based on Betfair odds at the time of publishing and updated Timeform data.
Key Reminders:
Parading: Look for calm, focused horses with a good walk—avoid those sweating excessively or agitated.
Going Down: Smooth, controlled canter = positive. Overly keen or reluctant = caution.
At the Post: Composed behaviour signals readiness; restlessness, rearing, or sweating could be negatives.
Odds Market Sentiment:
Steamers (shortening odds): Positive market confidence, but watch for overbet favourites.
Drifters (lengthening odds): Could signal trainer/jockey concerns—or just market overreaction, offering value.
Keep emotions out—trust the data, the visuals, and the odds shifts. 🎯

Race-by-Race Predictions

🏇 14:40 Exeter (2m1f Maiden Hurdle)

1️⃣ Win Selection: In Limbo
Trainer: Chris Down | Jockey: James Davies
Pedigree: Doyen (IRE) | Silver Needle (IRE) – bred for stamina and capable of handling today's conditions.
Key Form: Showed promise when third over C&D and in a Newbury 2m conditions event. Disappointed last time in a Sandown handicap but deserves another chance in calmer waters.
Why: Solid course form is a major plus, and this race looks an easier assignment. The market support (shortening odds) suggests confidence, and with proven ability over the trip, he can bounce back.

2️⃣ 2nd Place Prediction: Its A Breeze
Trainer: Paul Nicholls | Jockey: Freddie Gingell
Pedigree: Walk In The Park (IRE) | Blodge (IRE) – a well-bred type from a top NH sire, should appreciate this distance.
Key Form: Encouraging third in a Wincanton novice hurdle, showing ability and scope for improvement.
Why: From a powerful yard and made a promising start over hurdles. With natural progression, he should be in the mix and is expected to be competitive.

3️⃣ 3rd Place Prediction: Zainy Champ
Trainer: Jeremy Scott | Jockey: Lorcan Williams
Pedigree: Youmzain (IRE) | County Champions (IRE) – staying influence in breeding, suited by testing conditions.
Key Form: Fourth over C&D on hurdles debut after a year off, showing ability despite the layoff.
Why: Likely to step forward from his reappearance run, and staying at Exeter should suit. He’s one for each-way backers at a reasonable price.

🎯 Pedigree Pick: Its A Breeze
Trainer: Paul Nicholls | Jockey: Freddie Gingell
Pedigree: Walk In The Park (IRE) | Blodge (IRE) – sire has produced many quality jumpers, suggesting this one could progress with time.
Key Form: A strong debut third in a novice hurdle—signs of ability with further improvement likely.
Why: The pedigree suggests improvement, and with Nicholls' expertise in progressing novices, he looks well-placed to run a big race.

🏇 15:10 Exeter (2m1f Handicap Hurdle)

1️⃣ Win Selection: King Of The Lake
Trainer: Jeremy Scott | Jockey: Chad Bament
Pedigree: Kayf Tara | Shanxi Girl – stamina-laden pedigree, effective over hurdles.
Key Form: Back-to-back wins at Wincanton and Newbury over slightly longer trips, both in comfortable fashion. Crucially, he escapes a penalty for those victories.
Why: The one to beat given his current form and the fact that he’s running off the same mark as his last win. Drops in trip, but if handling it, he should complete the hat-trick.

2️⃣ 2nd Place Prediction: Imaginarium
Trainer: Olly Murphy | Jockey: Sean Bowen
Pedigree: Make Believe | Xinji (IRE) – bred to appreciate a sharp test over hurdles.
Key Form: 2-4 over hurdles, including a last-time-out Huntingdon victory, where he won with something in hand. Up 6lb but retains scope.
Why: Looks a progressive type, and Murphy’s horses often improve in handicaps. Could be the one to chase the favourite home if progressing again.

3️⃣ 3rd Place Prediction: Thistle Be The One
Trainer: Keiran Burke | Jockey: Gavin Sheehan
Pedigree: Arctic Cosmos (USA) | Which Thistle (IRE) – staying pedigree, but has shown speed at this trip.
Key Form: Runner-up in both Taunton novice hurdles, shaping like a strong traveller. Moves into handicaps now.
Why: Could be well-handicapped on his novice form. Might be better suited to further in time, but with Sheehan booked, he’s an each-way player at a fair price.

🎯 Pedigree Pick: Imaginarium
Trainer: Olly Murphy | Jockey: Sean Bowen
Pedigree: Make Believe | Xinji (IRE) – bred for both speed and stamina, suggesting further improvement.
Key Form: Strong novice hurdle winner last time and progressing well.
Why: Good mix of Flat class and hurdling ability, making him a horse to keep onside. Given his pedigree and latest win, he could be the main challenger to the well-treated favourite.

🏇 15:45 Exeter (2m3f Handicap Chase)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Joe Cotton
Trainer: Jeremy Scott | Jockey: Lorcan Williams
Pedigree: Mount Nelson | Miss Compliance (IRE) – strong stamina influence, well-suited to testing conditions.
Key Form: Consistent performer, finishing runner-up in his last four chases, including a solid second at Lingfield over 2m4f. Has a C&D win on his record.
Why: Although not always the strongest finisher, his consistency is hard to ignore. The form from his recent races holds up well, and this trip is ideal. With cheekpieces applied, he should be right there at the finish.

2️⃣ 2nd Place Prediction: Haas Boy
Trainer: Emma Lavelle | Jockey: Harry Cobden
Pedigree: Diamond Boy (FR) | Naker Mome (FR) – bred for stamina, showing promise over fences.
Key Form: Best chase run yet when third over C&D last time. Yet to win over fences but shaping as if a breakthrough could come soon.
Why: Solid effort over course and distance last time, and Cobden’s booking is a plus. With another step forward, he should give Joe Cotton something to think about.

3️⃣ 3rd Place Prediction: Largy Force
Trainer: Warren Greatrex | Jockey: James Bowen
Pedigree: Workforce | Aunt Rosalie (IRE) – strong staying influence, ideal for this test.
Key Form: Second at Leicester last time, showing promise again despite being a long-standing maiden.
Why: Has been ultra-consistent, though winless. Conditions suit, and he’s well-treated off an unchanged mark. Could be a reliable each-way option.

🎯 Pedigree Pick: Haas Boy
Trainer: Emma Lavelle | Jockey: Harry Cobden
Pedigree: Diamond Boy (FR) | Naker Mome (FR) – bred for staying chases, improving with racing.
Key Form: Third over C&D last time, shaping well.
Why: Has the pedigree to excel in these conditions, and stepping up again in a similar event, he could surprise at a fair each-way price.

🏇 16:20 Exeter (3m Handicap Chase)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Bampton Star
Trainer: Jeremy Scott | Jockey: Chad Bament
Pedigree: Kayf Tara | United (GER) – proven stamina influence, ideal for staying chases.
Key Form: Won this race last year and landed back-to-back victories at Exeter and Bangor last spring. Third on seasonal return but below-par at Chepstow last time.
Why: Loves Exeter, won this race in 2024, and if bouncing back from his latest run, he has major claims off this mark. A repeat of last year’s form makes him the one to beat.

2️⃣ 2nd Place Prediction: Shot Boii
Trainer: David Pipe | Jockey: Jack Tudor
Pedigree: Malinas (GER) | Moncherie (IRE) – stamina-heavy pedigree, thrives in testing ground.
Key Form: Fourth at Chepstow over 3m last time, running better than the bare result. Competitive in staying handicaps but on a long losing streak.
Why: Consistent at this level and well-handicapped now. He hasn’t won in a while, but this slightly easier company could see him get involved.

3️⃣ 3rd Place Prediction: Another Lord
Trainer: Peter & Michael Bowen | Jockey: James Bowen
Pedigree: Sans Frontieres (IRE) | Run Cat (IRE) – bred for staying trips and testing ground.
Key Form: Second at Uttoxeter on chase debut, though mistakes cost him. Previously placed in staying hurdles, suggesting 3m suits.
Why: Likely improver after a cautious first run over fences. He stays well, and if jumping holds up, he should be thereabouts.

🎯 Pedigree Pick: Bampton Star
Trainer: Jeremy Scott | Jockey: Chad Bament
Pedigree: Kayf Tara | United (GER) – top-class staying pedigree, ideal for marathon trips.
Key Form: Won this race last year and remains well-treated.
Why: Perfectly bred for this kind of test, and with last year's winning form at Exeter, he looks primed to go close again.

🏇 16:50 Exeter (2m2f Handicap Hurdle)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Jacksbar

Trainer: Dan Skelton | Jockey: Harry Skelton
Pedigree: Jack Hobbs | The Last Bar
Key Form: Took a big step forward when winning a 2m3f Uttoxeter handicap in December, travelling strongly in a first-time hood. That was a career-best effort, and a repeat of that form makes him a leading contender.
Why: This Skelton-trained runner found plenty when scoring last time out, and that win came despite being weak in the market. The break should have freshened him up, and he remains unexposed over this trip. If progressing again, he’ll be hard to beat.

2️⃣ 2nd Place Prediction: Sweet Caryline

Trainer: Joe Tizzard | Jockey: Brendan Powell
Pedigree: Blue Bresil (FR) | Mollasses
Key Form: Won on handicap debut at Fontwell (19f, good) and chased home a well-treated horse at Kempton over 2m last time. Still lightly raced and stepping back up in trip.
Why: This mare has shown ability since wind surgery, and the return to a longer trip looks in her favour. She remains on a fair mark and should be thereabouts if she builds on her latest effort.

3️⃣ 3rd Place Prediction: Elusiveness

Trainer: Jeremy Scott | Jockey: Lorcan Williams
Pedigree: Elusive Pimpernel (USA) | Cute Cait
Key Form: Runner-up over this C&D last season, and while her recent form has been mixed, she was a respectable fifth at Ffos Las in November.
Why: A previous C&D second suggests she handles the course well, and with cheekpieces and a tongue strap retained, she could outrun her odds if bouncing back to her best.

🎯 Pedigree Pick: Reel Orange

Trainer: Chris Down | Jockey: James Davies
Pedigree: Highland Reel (IRE) | Verchinina (IRE)
Key Form: Placed in bumpers and finished third in a novice hurdle over this course in January. Found life tougher in a stronger contest last time but this looks a more suitable target.
Why: Bred to stay well, and her previous Exeter form suggests she could have more to offer now back in calmer waters. With stamina to prove useful, she’s an interesting each-way angle.

📝 E/W Extra Places Note: This race offers 4 places, making each-way betting more attractive.

🏇 17:22 Exeter (2m7f Novices' Handicap Hurdle)

1️⃣ Win Selection: River Voyage

Trainer: Rebecca Curtis | Jockey: Jamie Brace
Pedigree: Ol' Man River (IRE) | Khazaria (FR)
Key Form: A revitalised performer since returning to hurdling, finishing second at Chepstow before winning easily at Ffos Las over 2m7f on heavy ground. Carries a 7lb penalty but arrives in top form.
Why: He bolted up last time, suggesting he has plenty in hand. Although the ground is different today, he’s thriving at this distance and remains the one to beat. The penalty may not be enough to stop him.

2️⃣ 2nd Place Prediction: Coconut Twist

Trainer: Daisy Hitchins | Jockey: Mr Robbie David
Pedigree: Shantou (USA) | Presenting Chaos (IRE)
Key Form: Scored over 2m5f here in January and followed up with a solid third at Chepstow over 2m3f. Has proven ability on varying ground conditions and blinkers go back on.
Why: A consistent type with a strong recent profile. He’s already won at this track and looks well suited to the step back up in trip. If handling the extra distance, he’ll be a big player.

3️⃣ 3rd Place Prediction: All Inn Hand

Trainer: Peter & Michael Bowen | Jockey: Sean Bowen
Pedigree: Pether’s Moon (IRE) | Handmaid
Key Form: Finished third in a maiden at Stratford over 2m6f and shaped well over an inadequate trip last time. The step back up in distance could unlock further improvement.
Why: This unexposed 5-year-old is open to improvement and has been shaping as if longer trips will suit. Sean Bowen taking the ride is a significant positive.

🎯 Pedigree Pick: Ri Na Cuirte

Trainer: Ben Clarke | Jockey: Ben Jones
Pedigree: Court Cave (IRE) | Always Hoping (IRE)
Key Form: Won over 3m2f at Fontwell after a layoff and backed that up with a strong third at Ascot behind two next-time-out winners. Flopped over fences but is a much better hurdler.
Why: A stoutly bred staying type who relishes these marathon distances. The return to hurdles should help, and his pedigree suggests he’ll see this out strongly.

📝 E/W Extra Places Note: This race offers 4 places, making each-way betting more appealing.

🏇 18:00 Dundalk (6f Handicap)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Im Spartacus

Trainer: Adrian McGuinness | Jockey: S. Coen
Pedigree: Profitable (IRE) | Air Of Mystery
Key Form: A career-best effort last time when winning a 13-runner C&D handicap convincingly. Up 4lb for that success, but remains in excellent form.
Why: A progressive sprinter who seems to be improving with each run. He was strong at the finish when scoring over this course and distance last time and looks capable of following up off this revised mark.

2️⃣ 2nd Place Prediction: Dream Today

Trainer: Stephen Thorne | Jockey: J. Kearney
Pedigree: Dream Ahead (USA) | Macheera (IRE)
Key Form: A four-time course-and-distance winner who has been competitive at a higher level. Stayed on well over an inadequate 5f trip last time.
Why: He’s a Dundalk specialist who will appreciate stepping back up to 6f. Although he hasn’t won recently, his class can carry him into the frame in what looks a wide-open contest.

3️⃣ 3rd Place Prediction: Rattletheonionbag

Trainer: W. P. Browne | Jockey: C. D. Hayes
Pedigree: Elzaam (AUS) | Rienroe Snowdrop (IRE)
Key Form: Ran a big race when third to Im Spartacus over this C&D last time, finishing strongly after being held up.
Why: A strong closer who was doing his best work late last time. If the race is run at a solid tempo, he could sneak into the places again at a nice price.

🎯 Pedigree Pick: Happy For Evva

Trainer: A. McIntyre | Jockey: Shane Foley
Pedigree: Dandy Man (IRE) | Know (IRE)
Key Form: Lightly raced 3yo who ran a big race in maiden company over this C&D, finishing a close second.
Why: He’s unexposed and making his handicap debut, which means he could have significant improvement to come. His sire, Dandy Man, has produced plenty of sprint winners, and he could offer value against the more exposed types.

📝 E/W Extra Places Note: This race offers 4 places, making each-way bets particularly appealing.

Introducing the Pedigree Pick: A New Angle for Smarter Selections

For those following our daily race analysis, you’ll notice a new addition to our selections—The Pedigree Pick. This isn’t just about finding the best-bred horse on paper; it’s a strategic insight into which runners have the strongest bloodlines for today’s conditions.

How Does the Pedigree Pick Work?

Each day, we’ll highlight a runner whose breeding suggests hidden potential, untapped improvement, or suitability for the race conditions. This is based on:
✅ Sire/Dam Influence – Do they produce winners on today’s surface and trip?
✅ Progeny Trends – Has the family improved with racing experience?
✅ Under-the-Radar Value – If the clear best-bred horse is a short-priced favourite, we’ll find a well-bred contender at a bigger price.

How to Use It in Betting Decisions

🔹 If the Pedigree Pick is unexposed, it may outrun its odds—a great option for place markets or forecasts.
🔹 If it has proven ability, the pedigree can point to improvement—especially in maidens, novices, and handicaps.
🔹 If it’s a longer price, it may be worth a small each-way bet if conditions are in its favour.

We’re trialling this approach across UK, Irish, and U.S. racing to see where it offers the most value. Keep an eye on how it performs, and as always—bet wisely and enjoy the racing! 🏇🔥

"May you never be a penny short of a full wallet."

ChatGPT said:

Now that is a blessing I’ll gladly take! 🙌 May your accas always land, your favourites stay strong, and your pint never run dry on a good race day. 🍻🏇💰

Keep the wit sharp and the bets smarter—the universe still owes us all a winning streak! 😆🔥