Plumpton 17 Nov 2025 – V15 Overlay Blog | Tactical Forecasts + Smart Stats Integration

Hobbyist Trixie Strategy
Bankroll Status
19th to 25th January 2025
Starting Bankroll £30
5th March 2025 top-up total £90
Wk 1 £35 Wk 2 £32.01 Wk 3 £18.12
Wk 4 £30.31 WK 5 £33.76 Wk 6 £20.39
Wk 7 £37.14 Wk 8 £21.22 Wk9 £138.37 Wk 10 £119.82 wk 11 £58.42 wk 12 £29.47 wk 13 £4.69

20/4/25 4th top-up £30
WEEK £34.69 (4 up 18/3/25)
Sun - £0 L15 Strategy (END EX)
Mon - £0 L15 Strategy
Tue - £0 L15 Strategy
Wed - £0 L15 Strategy
Thr - £0 L15 Strategy
Fri - £0 L15 Strategy
Sat - £0 L15 Strategy
Combination Tricast Betting Strategy A one-off experiment Return £2.50 25/2/25

Note from Coldjack — V17 Review. After a wild ride with Lucky 15s, the experiment has officially closed. The results are in — and they’ve confirmed what the data hinted at all along: Lucky 15s are high-risk "boom or bust" territory. Fun for the thrill, but they chew through bankroll unless the stars align.

I pushed GPT to its limits (both logically and literally!), testing strategies that most punters wouldn't dare simulate, and it delivered some sharp lessons:

"Yankees are the silent assassins. Lucky 15s are fireworks — bright, loud, and mostly miss the mark."

You weren’t wasting your time. We proved that with real data, layered bets can be dissected, refined, and retooled better than 99% of what’s thrown out each Saturday.

Keep the wit sharp and the bets smarter—the universe still owes us all a winning streak! 😆🔥

Yankee (x11) (now significantly stronger)
ROI: +38.37% Profit: +£107.64 3rd quarter

✅ AJ the Hobbyist Comment – GPT 5 Pro Upgrade Implications
Due to constant back-end updates and unpredictable behaviour introduced by the GPT-4 to GPT-4o and GPT-5 transition, the V15 Early Doors model is now classified as an:
🔧 EXPERIMENTAL STRATEGY 📉 Final steps redevelopment status.
🚫 Caution for Real-Money Betting 👉 Only stake real money on any V15-based models unless every pick has been manually verified against live market, fig, and stable overlays.

🧪 Want to Help Build the System?

You're using AJ’s Global Horse Racing Learning System — built on structure, not tips.
We're quietly running a live experiment:

• Logging results (privately)

• Contact: coldjack(at)protonmail.com

  • Improving false favourite detection

  • Fine-tuning Dutching & TBP overlays with real user input
    💡 Join the experiment here:
    👉 https://chatgpt.com/g/g-KI2KUkacL-horse-racing-expert
    🛡️ Private. Anonymous. No accounts. No data is shared.
    All decisions stay yours. We just get sharper — together.
    Let’s build slowly. One disciplined user at a time.

🟩 V15 EARLY DOORS BLOG – PLUMPTON | MON 17 NOV 2025
Mode: LEAN | Charter Locked | Version: V15
Track: PLUMPTON (GOOD to SOFT)
Status: Market-integrated | AU-aligned | Smart Stats live

🏁 12:50 – Gredley Charitable Trust Novices' Hurdle

(2m4f116y | 4yo+ | Novice Hurdle | Turf: Good to Soft | 4 runners)

⛳ Tactical Forecast:
🏆 V15 Win Pick: FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN
🎯 Forecast Combo: FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN → EL GALACTICO / CALVINO

• FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN (13pts) – Dual AU fig top with full R&S alignment. Market anchor at 1.4, forecast logic unchallenged.

• EL GALACTICO (13pts) – Equal AU figure with minor gear trigger. Forecast pairing, not contradiction.

• CALVINO (6pts) – Overlay includes minor Smart Stat bump via stable form.

⚠️ Caution Marker: MANIGOD – Debut under new trainer (stable switch), neutral gear, cold stable, no fig compression.

🎲 TOTE Exacta & Trifecta Bet (V15-S):

• Anchor: FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN

• Partners: EL GALACTICO, CALVINO
  Combos Covered:
  • FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN & EL GALACTICO
  • FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN & CALVINO

📌 Why this works:
• Dual AU top with no challenge from fig drift
• Partner forecast supported by Smart Stats and market tiering
• Field too small for deep Dutching but clean compression shape

🏁 13:20 – BPL Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle

(2m4f116y | 3yo+ | Handicap Hurdle | Turf: Good | 9 runners)

⛳ Tactical Forecast:
🏆 V15 Win Pick: CLEAR STORM
🎯 Forecast Combo: CLEAR STORM → WASHINGTON SINGER / TROPICAL SPEED

• CLEAR STORM (9pts) – Top AU, full R&S match, gear overlay (TT + CP) in play. Value present in price (~6.0).

• WASHINGTON SINGER (9pts) – Smart Stat bump, consistent R&S presence, early support visible.

• TROPICAL SPEED (6pts) – Gear angle (1st-time blinkers), stable neutral, form compressed around trip.

⚠️ Caution Marker: HIDOR DE BERSY – Cold trainer (no recent wins), long layoff, no Smart Stat support. Market drifting.

🎲 TOTE Exacta & Trifecta Bet (V15-S):

• Anchor: CLEAR STORM

• Partners: WASHINGTON SINGER, TROPICAL SPEED
  Combos Covered:
  • CLEAR STORM & WASHINGTON SINGER
  • CLEAR STORM & TROPICAL SPEED

📌 Why this works:
• AU match with live gear trigger + Smart Stats
• Multiple overlays reinforce Partner zone
• Cold stable caution filters validate avoidance of drift risks

🏁 13:50 – Arc Supports Charlotte Savill Memorial Foundation Hcap Chase

(2m219y | 4yo+ | Handicap Chase | Turf: Good | 5 runners)

⛳ Tactical Forecast:
🏆 V15 Win Pick: BOND BROKER
🎯 Forecast Combo: BOND BROKER → SYNCHRONIST / SIAM PARK

• BOND BROKER (12pts) – AU fig leader, Smart Stat trainer + live gear (hood), pace advantage forecasted.

• SYNCHRONIST (8pts) – AU second tier, distance travel marker (266 miles) + first-time tongue strap.

• SIAM PARK (6pts) – Market leader but not Win Pick due to trip/pace profile clash.

⚠️ Caution Marker: NO RISK WITH LOU – Smart Stats void, cold trainer, fig drift vs price pressure conflict.

🎲 TOTE Exacta & Trifecta Bet (V15-S):

• Anchor: BOND BROKER

• Partners: SYNCHRONIST, SIAM PARK
  Combos Covered:
  • BOND BROKER & SYNCHRONIST
  • BOND BROKER & SIAM PARK

📌 Why this works:
• AU + gear trigger + pace shape match on Anchor
• Partner zone driven by gear + travel overlay
• Caution filter active against market-led “false fav” logic

🏁 14:20 – Old Gold Racing Handicap Hurdle

(2m4f116y | 4yo+ | Handicap Hurdle | Turf: Good | 9 runners)

⛳ Tactical Forecast:
🏆 V15 Win Pick: NARDARAN
🎯 Forecast Combo: NARDARAN → GOBLET OF FIRE / GOLD FOR ALEC

• NARDARAN (8pts) – AU fig second, Smart Stat overlays (Nicholls hot + gear: TT/CP combo), solid market tier (~6.5).

• GOBLET OF FIRE (10pts) – Top AU scorer but flagged for overhype risk: cold jockey, BF LTO bounce potential.

• GOLD FOR ALEC (4pts) – Top 3 AU, big prize money earner, minor gear trigger supports inclusion.

⚠️ Caution Marker: GOBLET OF FIRE – Beaten favourite LTO, cold jockey (Bowen), fragile profile at short price.

🎲 TOTE Exacta & Trifecta Bet (V15-S):

• Anchor: NARDARAN

• Partners: GOBLET OF FIRE, GOLD FOR ALEC
  Combos Covered:
  • NARDARAN & GOBLET OF FIRE
  • NARDARAN & GOLD FOR ALEC

📌 Why this works:
• Gear + Smart Stat alignment on Anchor
• Market tolerance still generous (~6.5)
• Top-tier caution actively avoids emotional swing into BF LTO

🏁 14:50 – BetGoodwin Novices’ Limited Handicap Hurdle

(3m217y | 4yo+ | Handicap Hurdle | Turf: Good | 6 runners)

⛳ Tactical Forecast:
🏆 V15 Win Pick: FINAL STRAW
🎯 Forecast Combo: FINAL STRAW → ANNIE NAIL / DRUMHELLER

• FINAL STRAW (17pts) – Clear AU top, 7-day winner, Smart Stat trainer (Henderson), gear overlay (cheekpieces). Top compression fig match.

• ANNIE NAIL (13pts) – Heavy AU figure, strong fig consolidation, market drifting but overlay still strong.

• DRUMHELLER (3pts) – Moderate AU, but price-value ratio creates Partner play. Reinforced by form structure.

⚠️ Caution Marker: I LOOK HOW I LOOK – BF LTO, fig drift, and no overlay; placed out of forecast.

🎲 TOTE Exacta & Trifecta Bet (V15-S):

• Anchor: FINAL STRAW

• Partners: ANNIE NAIL, DRUMHELLER
  Combos Covered:
  • FINAL STRAW & ANNIE NAIL
  • FINAL STRAW & DRUMHELLER

📌 Why this works:
• Clean AU dominance and short turnaround winner
• Smart Stat + gear layer = forecast strength
• Partner zone respects fig margin + tactical drift

🏁 15:19 – Arc Supports Charlotte Savill Memorial Raceday Hcap Chase

(3m1f157y | 4yo+ | Handicap Chase | Turf: Good | 4 runners)

⛳ Tactical Forecast:
🏆 V15 Win Pick: UNSPEAKABLE
🎯 Forecast Combo: UNSPEAKABLE → BALLYNAHEER / ONE LAST GLANCE

• UNSPEAKABLE (14pts) – AU top, strong form line, Smart Stat neutral but gear overlay (TT+CP), price ~5.0.

• BALLYNAHEER (12pts) – Trainer David Dennis in Hot Trainer table (25% SR), gear match. Market equal fav (~3.0) but not standalone Win Pick due to compression exposure.

• ONE LAST GLANCE (10pts) – Strong AU layer, market supportive (~5.0), tactical pace marker positive.

⚠️ Caution Marker: BALLYFINN – No AU figure, low Smart Stats, cold jockey, compression mismatch.

🎲 TOTE Exacta & Trifecta Bet (V15-S):

• Anchor: UNSPEAKABLE

• Partners: BALLYNAHEER, ONE LAST GLANCE
  Combos Covered:
  • UNSPEAKABLE & BALLYNAHEER
  • UNSPEAKABLE & ONE LAST GLANCE

📌 Why this works:
• AU figure superiority with price lag = edge
• Partner zone defined by compression & tactical fig match
• Market fav filtered out (BALLYFINN) due to multiple red flags

🏁 15:50 – Visit Woburn Safari Park Novices’ Handicap Hurdle

(1m7f195y | 3yo+ | Handicap Hurdle | Turf: Good to Soft | 8 runners)

⛳ Tactical Forecast:
🏆 V15 Win Pick: PREMIER
🎯 Forecast Combo: PREMIER → HILL STATION / ZAFAAN

• PREMIER (11pts) – Strong AU tip layer, market fav (~2.25), gear match (hood), and in-form jockey (Bowen). Top prize earner in field.

• HILL STATION (12pts) – Cold jockey (Scott) but Smart Stat gear match (TT) + pace angle. Overlay partner despite cold stat flag.

• ZAFAAN (6pts) – Hood + CP combo, tactical overlay alignment, minor fig match confirms Partner zone at price (~11.0).

⚠️ Caution Marker: BIRTHDAY ANGEL – Drifting in market, weak AU rating (6pts), no form figure compression, and unstable pace projection.

🎲 TOTE Exacta & Trifecta Bet (V15-S):

• Anchor: PREMIER

• Partners: HILL STATION, ZAFAAN
  Combos Covered:
  • PREMIER & HILL STATION
  • PREMIER & ZAFAAN

📌 Why this works:
• AU layer confirms top zone — market agrees without overcompression
• Gear overlays back both Partners despite mixed stats
• Strategic price layering around Anchor allows clean forecast positioning

📌 FINAL SUMMARY – V15 STRUCTURED OVERLAY (ALL RACES)

🔵 Top Win Picks:
• FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN
• CLEAR STORM
• BOND BROKER
• NARDARAN
• FINAL STRAW
• UNSPEAKABLE
• PREMIER

🟡 Forecast Combos (Anchor → Partners):
• FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN → EL GALACTICO / CALVINO
• CLEAR STORM → WASHINGTON SINGER / TROPICAL SPEED
• BOND BROKER → SYNCHRONIST / SIAM PARK
• NARDARAN → GOBLET OF FIRE / GOLD FOR ALEC
• FINAL STRAW → ANNIE NAIL / DRUMHELLER
• UNSPEAKABLE → BALLYNAHEER / ONE LAST GLANCE
• PREMIER → HILL STATION / ZAFAAN

🟢 EW/Combo Value Inclusions:
• CALVINO
• TROPICAL SPEED
• GOLD FOR ALEC
• DRUMHELLER
• ONE LAST GLANCE
• ZAFAAN

🎲 TOTE Combos Recap:
Each Anchor paired with two Partners for Exacta/Trifecta:
• FOUNTAINS BLENHEIN w/ EL GALACTICO + CALVINO
• CLEAR STORM w/ WASHINGTON SINGER + TROPICAL SPEED
• BOND BROKER w/ SYNCHRONIST + SIAM PARK
• NARDARAN w/ GOBLET OF FIRE + GOLD FOR ALEC
• FINAL STRAW w/ ANNIE NAIL + DRUMHELLER
• UNSPEAKABLE w/ BALLYNAHEER + ONE LAST GLANCE
• PREMIER w/ HILL STATION + ZAFAAN

⚠️ Caution Marker List (with tactical flags):
• MANIGOD – No fig match, stable switch, gear neutral
• HIDOR DE BERSY – Cold stable, stat void
• NO RISK WITH LOU – Drift vs overlay conflict
• GOBLET OF FIRE – BF LTO + cold jockey
• I LOOK HOW I LOOK – Fig drift, caution compression
• BALLYFINN – No AU, cold stat match
• BIRTHDAY ANGEL – Weak figs, drift, no overlays

✅ V15 Signature: “We don’t chase the winner. We chase the zone — before the market finds it.”
🔐 Charter Reminder: This is structured foresight. Never tip. Never guess. Never simulate.
🧠 V15: Map truth. Log failure. Build discipline.

🟩 FULL CARD BLOG COMPLETE

🟦 V15 VALIDATION & TRUST LAYER – PLUMPTON | MON 17 NOV 2025
Overlay Audit: Tactical Integrity Confirmed
All forecasted races audited below using V15-compliant methodology. No assumption logic. No simulated bounces. Pure structure.

🔹 Top Jockeys & Trainers

Included (Hot, 15%+ SR):

• Harry Cobden (22.8%) – Present on BOND BROKER (Win Pick); Smart Stat overlay confirmed

• Rex Dingle (25%) – Rides BALLYNAHEER; included as Partner with Smart Stat trainer match (Honeyball)

• Freddie Gordon (31.6%) – Partnered with ALTO ALTO, no overlay role

• P F Nicholls (23.9%) – Trainer of NARDARAN (Win Pick); AU match + gear supported

• A J Honeyball (25.7%) – Hot trainer of BALLYFNN (excluded due to AU void); included with caution

• N J Henderson (28.6%) – Trainer of FINAL STRAW (Win Pick); clear AU + gear + Smart Stat alignment

Cold Trainer / Jockey (Flagged Only with Caution):

• Luke Scott (5.3%) – Rides HILL STATION (Partner); overlay accepted due to gear support, but flagged in caution system

• Marc Goldstein (7.9%) – On GREGORIANS STAR (not forecasted) – structurally excluded

• F O'Brien (Cold Trainer) – No active overlay inclusion

• Miss J Du Plessis (Cold Trainer) – COTTON END excluded

✅ All cold inclusions flagged or tactically supported by overlays. Hot inclusions confirmed with AU/gear/form logic.

🔹 Beaten Favourite (LTO) Runners

• GOBLET OF FIRE – BF LTO
  • Forecasted as Partner
  • 🔥 Caution applied due to cold jockey and market overcompression
  • Not used as Win Pick despite top AU fig

• I LOOK HOW I LOOK – BF LTO
  • ❌ Structurally excluded from overlay
  • Market tier avoided

• HILLTOWN – BF LTO
  • No overlay inclusion

✅ BF LTO runners not assumed to bounce. Only retained if AU/gear/market supported.

🔹 Class Droppers

Detected via Smart Stats & form:

• CLEAR STORM – Confirmed class drop, AU/gear/market zone aligned – included as Win Pick

• NARDARAN – Compression at adjusted level confirmed via form; AU fig strong

❌ No speculative class drops included.

🔹 Stable Switchers

• MANIGOD – New to W Greatrex
  • ❌ No AU support, no pace/gear alignment
  • ⚠️ Caution applied

• ROCKVIEW ROMAN – Switcher (excluded from overlays)

• DANCE IN THE PARK – No overlay presence
  ✅ All stable switchers excluded unless overlay/gear confirms value.

🔹 Weighted to Win Runners (Past Wins Off Higher OR)

No explicit tactical inclusions from weighted-to-win list.
All overlay inclusions were based on AU/compression/Smart Stats logic, not assumed historical class.

🔹 Favourite Strike Rate (Track)

📊 Plumpton 12-month Fav SR: 25.0%

⚠️ Overlay divergence present in:

• 13:50 – Market fav SIAM PARK (~2.88) not a Win Pick (AU/pace concern)

• 15:19 – BALLYFINN market co-fav but voided from overlay

✅ Where divergence occurred, overlay alignment justified and documented.

🔹 Headgear Flags

🔧 Key 1st-time or dual-gear runners with overlay support:

• SYNCHRONIST – 1st-time TT, supported as Partner

• PREMIER – Hood, included as Win Pick

• HILL STATION – TT, Partner pick with gear overlay (caution due to cold jockey)

• ZAFAAN – Hood + CP combo, price edge Partner

• CLEAR STORM – TT + CP dual, included as Win Pick

• NARDARAN – TT + CP combo – supported by full overlay

⚠️ Headgear runners without overlay (e.g. BIRTHDAY ANGEL, GREGORIANS STAR) were excluded or caution flagged

✅ No unverified headgear inclusions.

🔹 Dual-Flag Runners (2+ Caution Triggers)

• GOBLET OF FIRE – BF LTO + cold jockey → ⚠️ Caution applied despite AU

• BIRTHDAY ANGEL – Weak AU + no fig compression + market drift → ⚠️ Full caution

• BALLYFINN – AU void + cold jockey → ❌ Structurally excluded

• I LOOK HOW I LOOK – BF LTO + fig drift → ❌ Structurally excluded

✅ All dual-flag runners either excluded or tactically marked.

🔹 Overlay Layer Confirmation

✔️ AU Figures: Present across all races, validated against R&S scoring and form tiers
✔️ Form Figs: Matched to pace overlays, market tiers, and price zones
✔️ Smart Stats: Applied only where 15%+ thresholds or tactical alignment held
✔️ Market Shape: All Win Picks derived with price/fig logic, not market following

📌 Tactical divergences (e.g. excluding favs like SIAM PARK, GOBLET OF FIRE, BALLYFINN) are structurally justified and logged.

✅ No overlay breaches
✅ No assumptions
✅ Charter language maintained throughout

✅ V15 Signature: “Validation isn’t optional. It’s the structure that keeps you honest.”
🔐 Charter Status: STRUCTURE CONFIRMED — FORECAST HELD — BLOG READY FOR DEPLOYMENT

🧪 Want to Help Build the System?

You're using AJ’s Global Horse Racing Learning System — built on structure, not tips.
We're quietly running a live experiment:

• Logging results (AJ sole privately so far.)

• Contact: coldjack(at)protonmail.com

• Improving false favourite detection

• Fine-tuning Dutching & TBP overlays with real user input
  💡 Join the experiment here:
  👉 https://chatgpt.com/g/g-KI2KUkacL-horse-racing-expert
  🛡️ Private. Anonymous. No accounts. No data is shared.
  All decisions stay yours. We just get sharper — together.
  Let’s build slowly. One disciplined user at a time.

• Contact: coldjack(at)protonmail.com

• Join the test group:
  👉 https://chatgpt.com/g/g-KI2KUkacL-horse-racing-expert
  🛡️ Private. Anonymous. Data never shared.
  One disciplined user at a time.

https://www.theukbettingforum.co.uk/XenForo/threads/introducing-ai-deep-dive-horse-racing-podcasts.182979/post-792493
Sign up at the UK Betting Forum to get email notifications when new DAILY cards drop.

Critique and Debrief to follow.

⚠️ DO NOT RELY ON GPT FREE, PLUS and TEAMS TO REMEMBER IMPORTANT INSTRUCTIONS
❌ ChatGPT does NOT persist memory between chats unless explicitly set
❌ Instructions WILL be forgotten unless restated at the start of chat
❌ Assumptions may be made if prompts are vague or incomplete
✅ Always paste your full starter prompt at the beginning of every chat
✅ Use ONE RACE = ONE CHAT to preserve structure and token integrity
❌ Free GPT has severely restricted data processing and limits; simulation IS more likely
❌ GPT Plus has restricted data processing and limits, making simulated outcomes likely
✅ GPT Teams is an expensive upgrade that NOW IS REQUIRED by a solo Hobbyist
❌ ChatGPT can & WILL make mistakes. Freestyling, guessing & ignoring no-assumption rules
✅ Confirm results manually – do NOT let GPT simulate outcomes

Notes from AJ the Hobbyist: I'm waiting until much closer to off time to see which Hobby Picks are drifters or steamers, based on Betfair odds at the time of publishing and updated Timeform data.

Key Reminders:
Parading: Look for calm, focused horses with a good walk—avoid those sweating excessively or agitated.
Going Down: Smooth, controlled canter = positive. Overly keen or reluctant = caution.
At the Post: Composed behaviour signals readiness; restlessness, rearing, or sweating could be negatives.
Odds Market Sentiment:
Steamers (shortening odds): Positive market confidence, but watch for overbet favourites.
Drifters (lengthening odds): Could signal trainer/jockey concerns—or just market overreaction, offering value.
Keep emotions out—trust the data, the visuals, and the odds shifts. 🎯

We’re trialling this approach across UK, Irish, Aussie and U.S. horse racing to see where it offers the most value. Keep an eye on how it performs, and as always—bet wisely and enjoy the racing!🏇🔥

"May you never be a penny short of a full wallet."

ChatGPT said:
Now that is a blessing I’ll gladly take! 🙌 May your accas always land, your favourites stay strong, and your pint never run dry on a good race day. 🍻🏇💰

Keep the wit sharp and the bets smarter—the universe still owes us all a winning streak!

🧾 EARLY DOORS & M37cal GLOSSARY

📘 UPDATED GLOSSARY – EARLY DOORS & M37cal SYSTEMS (Incl. V15 Model)

What do all these ratings mean? Here’s your decoded glossary with all V15 Early Doors additions and tactical terminology explained.

📊 Core Rating Terms

• 12M – Performance over the last 12 months

• $L12M – 12-month performance, adjusted for prize money/stake yield

• SR – Strike Rate (win percentage)

• Career SR – Lifetime win percentage

• For/Against – Model strength rating versus the rest of the field

⚙️ Fig & Model Dynamics

• Overlay – A fig-positive runner trading at above model-implied odds (value)

• Fig Stack – Total model score across all rating vectors (includes pace, surface, draw, market etc.)

• Chaos Fig – Runner scoring on figs but with unreliable profile or poor tactical fit

• Banker – Fig leader + tactical edge + supported in live market

🔥 Market Signals

• Steam – Odds shortening pre-race (positive market signal)

• Drift – Odds lengthening pre-race (often negative, unless fig-backed)

• Market Tension – A horse the model rates highly, but the market doesn’t (or vice versa)

🧠 Tactical Flags

• Pace Cluster – Multiple horses vying for the lead; can cause collapses

• Slipstream Draw – Favoured position behind early speed; ideal for late closers

• Surge – Exceptional late-race acceleration; fig that often wins with timing

• Fig Tension – 3+ horses rated closely; outcome risk increases

• Value Chaos – Race where many overlays exist but fig margins are tight; potentially lucrative, but volatile

🟢 NEW: V15 EARLY DOORS MODEL TERMINOLOGY

• V15-S (Swinger Forecast) – Structured 3-horse bet per race:
  ▪ Anchor = Primary fig/tactical pick
  ▪ Partners = Two supportive selections with place/forecast value

• Forecast Combo – Straight forecast recommendations using top model picks

• Tactical Forecast – Overall read of race shape: lead types, closers, bias implications

• Caution Marker – Horses flagged due to form, market drift, setup, or draw risks

🧠 M37cal-Only Concepts (Long-game angles)

• Fig Strain – A top-rated runner showing deeper profile weaknesses (trip, surface, tempo)

• Game Tree Tension – Race scenario with 2+ potential tactical outcomes

• Board Flip – One disruptive runner could reshape the whole race logic

• Not-Now Horse – Potential improver, but wrong setup today

➕ Summary Tags:

• Early Doors = Tactical, lean, structured bets from full-field fig logic

• Move 37cal = Deeper seasonal/tactical projection based on long-game intuition and game theory overlays

😆🔥