Tapeta Thrillers at Newcastle! A Night of Speed, Form, and Betting Action – 20/02/25

Hobbyist Trixie Strategy
Bankroll Status
19th to 25th January 2025
Starting Bankroll £30 (28 days)
Top Up to Bankroll £30 12.02.25

Wk 1 £35 Wk 2 £32.01 Wk 3 -£18.12
Wk 4 £30.31

WEEK 5 £20.02
Sun - £02.54
Mon - -£07.00
Tue - £01.67
Wed - £07.50
Thrs - ££00.00
Fri - £00.00
Sat - £00.00

Note from Coldjack: Forget yesterday's shambolic Trixie and Patent predictions. We need to sharpen up the predictions and I need to ensure GPT starts to help not hinder with the blog presentation. There are better things ahead! I hope for far more when we go again!

Trixie @4 Lines
Concert Boy | Mereside Madness | Rebeccas Girl
Stake £4.00 (4 x £1.00)
Returns £31.14 Returns £nowt

(Each Way) Patent @14 Lines
Mon Na Slieve | Likeashadow | Hurstwood
Stake £3.50 (14 x £0.25)
Returns £292.17 Returns £nowt

Stakes £7.50 Winning £00.00 (P/L) losing £0.00
Modest returns for the 'Trickey Trixie'
Patent punting for the 'zsar bomba' of booms!
(1pt = £1 Pick Your Own Point Level & Runners)

Newcastle Races – 20/02/25: Comprehensive Review of Pre-Race Predictions & Betting Outcomes

📊 Performance Overview

🔹 Trixie (Low-Risk Strategy): ❌ 1 Winner, 2 Losers
🔹 Patent (Higher-Risk Play): ❌ 0 Winners
🔹 Overall Success: 1/6 Selections Won
🔹 Bankroll Impact: -£7.50

The night didn’t go as planned, but there were some close calls and valuable insights gained for future betting angles. Let’s break down each race, selection, and outcome, alongside an honest debrief of our betting approach.

🏇 Trixie Bet #1: The Consistency Play (Low-Risk Strategy)

Objective: Find three horses with strong recent form, reliable track records, and minimal downside risk.

1️⃣ Selection: Rebeccas Girl (20:30 Newcastle – 6f Handicap)

✅ Pre-Race Form: 23-3411
✅ Analysis: Back-to-back winner, strong C&D form, running off the same mark. Looked a solid banker.
🚨 Result: 3rd (11/10 Fav)
🔎 Race Recap: The market was strong on Rebeccas Girl, but she didn’t quite finish as strongly as expected. Conquest Of Power (7/2) ran a massive race to win, while Kings Crown (9/1) grabbed second place. The favourite travelled well but wasn’t able to assert dominance in the final furlong.

🔍 Verdict: Not far off, but didn’t quite justify the odds. No excuses, just beaten by better finishers on the day.

⏳ Confidence Rating: ★★★★★ (Still a strong bet, just beaten by an improving rival.)

2️⃣ Selection: Saxonia (18:00 Newcastle – 1m Maiden Stakes)

✅ Pre-Race Form: 5454-3
✅ Analysis: Showed strong improvement when 3rd over C&D last time. Looked ready to step forward.
🚀 Result: 🏆 1st (5/6 Fav)
🔎 Race Recap: Saxonia was the highlight of the night for predictions, delivering a comfortable win as expected. Live Aid (100/1) was the big shock in second place, but Saxonia justified favouritism with a strong drive home under Jonny Peate.

🔍 Verdict: Spot on. Right read, right result.

⏳ Confidence Rating: ★★★★☆ (Strong win, justified favourite status.)

3️⃣ Selection: Paddy’s Day (18:30 Newcastle – 5f Handicap)

✅ Pre-Race Form: 2327-11
✅ Analysis: Back-to-back wins over C&D, looked primed for a hat-trick.
🚀 Result: 🏆 1st (8/1)
🔎 Race Recap: Paddy’s Day delivered big time! Despite drifting to 8/1, he held off challengers to secure the hat-trick. The Caltonian (5/1) and Badri (4/1) dead-heated for second, confirming the strong pace and competitive nature of the race.

🔍 Verdict: Brilliant value selection. Underestimated by the market and rewarded those who stuck with him!

⏳ Confidence Rating: ★★★★☆ (Value pick delivered handsomely!)

🔎 Trixie Verdict:

✅ Winners: Saxonia & Paddy’s Day
❌ Loser: Rebeccas Girl
💰 Returns: £31.14 from £4 Stake – modest profit.

🎯 Final Verdict: A strong effort with two winners. A more consistent third leg (Rebeccas Girl) would have made it a superb night.

🏇 Patent Bet #2: The All-Ways Patent (Higher-Risk Play)

Objective: Identify three horses with upside potential, despite inconsistencies.

1️⃣ Selection: Mon Na Slieve (18:30 Newcastle – 5f Handicap)

✅ Pre-Race Form: 75869-4
✅ Analysis: Showed major improvement last time at Southwell – now well-handicapped.
🚨 Result: ❌ Unplaced
🔎 Race Recap: Never really got involved. With Paddy’s Day winning, Mon Na Slieve wasn’t near the leaders.

🔍 Verdict: Misread this one. No excuses – underperformed.

⏳ Confidence Rating: ★★★☆☆ (Had a case, but never in contention.)

2️⃣ Selection: Hurstwood (20:00 Newcastle – 6f Handicap)

✅ Pre-Race Form: 696-525
✅ Analysis: Unlucky last time, looked well-handicapped to strike.
🚨 Result: ❌ Unplaced
🔎 Race Recap: Kats Bob (9/2) won a very tight finish, with Just Ten High (3/1 fav) close second. Hurstwood never got going in the manner expected, despite being well-handicapped.

🔍 Verdict: Decent logic, but didn’t fire.

⏳ Confidence Rating: ★★★☆☆ (The theory was sound, but execution poor.)

3️⃣ Selection: Likeashadow (19:00 Newcastle – 1m Handicap)

✅ Pre-Race Form: 503000-
✅ Analysis: Wind operation and first-time tongue tie suggested big improvement possible.
🚨 Result: ❌ Unplaced
🔎 Race Recap: Just Typical (3/1) won, while Likeashadow never threatened. Another misread gamble.

🔍 Verdict: Worth the risk at big odds, but ultimately a poor selection.

⏳ Confidence Rating: ★★☆☆☆ (More hope than expectation. Didn't fire.)

🔎 Patent Verdict:

❌ Zero winners.
💰 Returns: £0 from £3.50 Stake.
🎯 Final Verdict: Total failure – Patent selections too risky. Next time, keep higher-risk plays to strong form candidates.

🔍 Key Takeaways for Future Betting Strategy

✅ Trust Proven Form: Saxonia & Paddy’s Day showed why course specialists are worth backing.
✅ Stick to Stronger Bankers for Trixies: Rebeccas Girl disappointed, but still a solid angle.
❌ Patent Bets Need Refinement: Higher odds must be paired with stronger signals – not just "hopeful" angles.
✅ Market Watch is Key: Paddy’s Day drifted to 8/1 – a great opportunity for sharp punters.

📌 Summary: Was the Night Profitable?

💰 Trixie Return: +£31.14
💰 Patent Return: £0.00
💰 Total: -£7.50

🎯 Takeaway: It wasn’t a disaster – two winners softened the blow – but better Patent selections would have turned the night around.

📢 Final Thought: "The Night Wasn't a Total Write-Off!"

While the Patent failed, the Trixie salvaged the betting card with two solid winners. The key lesson is to keep improving selection discipline and not over-rely on speculative plays.

📌 What Next? We go again next week with sharper focus! 🎯🔥

🔥 💡 BET SMARTER. TRUST FORM. STAY DISCIPLINED. 💡 🚀

Preracing Predictions

🏇 Trixie Bet #1: The Consistency Play (Low-Risk, High-Probability)

✅ Objective: Identify three reliable horses with strong recent form and proven consistency to create a low-risk Trixie bet.

1️⃣ Selection: Rebeccas Girl (20:30 Newcastle - 6f Handicap)

• Recent Form: 23-3411 (✅ Won last 2 races, back-to-back victories at Newcastle)

• Key Factors:
  ✅ Back-to-back winner at Newcastle (including a win at today's trip).
  ✅ Running off the same mark as last time – strong chance of a third win.
  ✅ Proven track and distance record.
  ✅ Race fitness – won just 5 days ago.

• Confidence Rating: ★★★★★

• Current Odds: 2.16 (11/8)

🔥 Why: Strongest favourite of the night. In form, conditions suit, same mark as last win.

2️⃣ Selection: Saxonia (18:00 Newcastle - 1m Maiden Stakes)

• Recent Form: 5454-3 (✅ Placed on latest start at Newcastle)

• Key Factors:
  ✅ Strong third over C&D last time, form looks solid.
  ✅ Highly likely to improve on last run after a 6-month layoff.
  ✅ Trainer: Charlie Johnston – runners perform well on Tapeta.

• Confidence Rating: ★★★★☆

• Current Odds: 1.88 (8/9)

🔥 Why: Market leader, lightly raced, improving, and suited to conditions. Should be tough to beat.

3️⃣ Selection: Paddy’s Day (18:30 Newcastle - 5f Handicap)

• Recent Form: 2327-11 (✅ Won last 2 races at Newcastle)

• Key Factors:
  ✅ Won last two races over C&D – a Newcastle specialist.
  ✅ Handles Tapeta very well – 3-time course winner.
  ✅ Progressing nicely in form.

• Confidence Rating: ★★★★☆

• Current Odds: 5.5 (9/2)

🔥 Why: Double winner, thriving at Newcastle, strong claims for a hat-trick.

📊 Trixie Bet Structure:

4 total bets: 3 doubles + 1 treble

• 🏆 Expected Outcome:

  • 2 winners → Recover stake or bring small profit.

  • 3 winners → Strong multiplication of stake.

🏇 Trixie Bet #2: The All-Ways Patent (Higher-Risk, High-Upside)

✅ Objective: Find three value horses that fit the risk profile but have clear upside potential.

1️⃣ Selection: Mon Na Slieve (18:30 Newcastle - 5f Handicap)

• Recent Form: 75869-4 (✅ Improved significantly last time at Southwell)

• Risk Factors:
  ✅ First-time cheekpieces & tongue strap worked last time.
  ✅ Weighted to go well (handicapper has dropped it to an appealing mark).
  ✅ Trainer Kevin Ryan’s horses improve with racing.

• Confidence Rating: ★★★☆☆

• Current Odds: 8.2 (15/2)

🔥 Why: Handicapped to win, has market support, and the last run suggested improvement.

2️⃣ Selection: Hurstwood (20:00 Newcastle - 6f Handicap)

• Recent Form: 696-525 (✅ Went close in last few starts)

• Risk Factors:
  ✅ Would have gone closer last time if not blocked – denied a clear passage.
  ✅ Now 3lb lower than his last winning mark.
  ✅ Strong course form – has won here before.

• Confidence Rating: ★★★☆☆

• Current Odds: 9.8 (9/1)

🔥 Why: Back to a winnable mark and unlucky last time. Looks a strong each-way play.

3️⃣ Selection: Likeashadow (19:00 Newcastle - 1m Handicap)

• Recent Form: 503000- (❌ Poor recent form, but has excuses)

• Risk Factors:
  ✅ Won at this course before.
  ✅ First run after a wind operation – could show significant improvement.
  ✅ Well handicapped if bouncing back.

• Confidence Rating: ★★☆☆☆

• Current Odds: 17.5 (16/1)

🔥 Why: Big price, but if the wind op helps, he could be thrown in at the weights.

📊 Patent Bet Structure:

7 total bets: 3 singles, 3 doubles, 1 treble

• Expected Outcome:

  • 1 winner → Covers most of the stake.

  • 2 winners → Solid profit.

  • 3 winners → Big payout!

🚀 Final Summary

✔ Trixie #1 (Safe & Reliable):
✅ Rebeccas Girl (20:30 Newcastle) ★★★★★
✅ Saxonia (18:00 Newcastle) ★★★★☆
✅ Paddy’s Day (18:30 Newcastle) ★★★★☆

✔ Trixie #2 (Higher-Risk, Higher-Reward Patent):
🔹 Mon Na Slieve (18:30 Newcastle) ★★★☆☆
🔹 Hurstwood (20:00 Newcastle) ★★★☆☆
🔹 Likeashadow (19:00 Newcastle) ★★☆☆☆

🔥 Let’s see if we can land a big profit tonight! 🏇💰

📌 Gamble Responsibly! Keep the wit sharp and the bets smarter—the universe still owes us all a winning streak! 😆🔥

Notes from AJ the Hobbyist: I'm waiting until much closer to off time to see which 'obby Picks (dropping Hs since the dog chewed my denture) are drifters or steamers, based on Betfair odds at the time of publishing and updated Timeform data.
Key Reminders:
Parading: Look for calm, focused horses with a good walk—avoid those sweating excessively or agitated.
Going Down: Smooth, controlled canter = positive. Overly keen or reluctant = caution.
At the Post: Composed behaviour signals readiness; restlessness, rearing, or sweating could be negatives.
Odds Market Sentiment:
Steamers (shortening odds): Positive market confidence, but watch for overbet favourites.
Drifters (lengthening odds): Could signal trainer/jockey concerns—or just market overreaction, offering value.
Keep emotions out—trust the data, the visuals, and the odds shifts. 🎯

Race-by-Race Predictions

🏇 Race 1 - 16:55 Newcastle (1m2f Handicap)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Rock Armour

Trainer: John Butler | Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Key Form: Produced a career-best performance when winning a 12-runner handicap over this course and distance just six days ago, winning readily with blinkers applied for the first time. Raised 5lb but remains on a winnable mark.
Why: The manner of his last win suggests there’s more to come, especially if the headgear continues to have the desired effect. His strong travelling style suits the straight track here at Newcastle, and he remains in top form with fitness assured. Market confidence also backs him as the clear favourite.

2️⃣ Second Place: Book Of Life

Trainer: (Non-runner)
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Key Form: Last-time-out winner who thrived when stepping up in trip at Wolverhampton (9.5f), finishing powerfully in the final furlong. Given a 4lb rise but looked to have more in hand last time.
Why: While Book Of Life is a non-runner, he was shaping as Rock Armour’s strongest rival. His withdrawal strengthens the case for Rock Armour to dominate the race, while others now step up into contention.

3️⃣ Third Place: Rampant

Trainer: Patrick Morris | Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Key Form: Has run with credit in both starts for new yard, including a close third over this trip at Newcastle in November. Equipped with cheekpieces again, and jockey claims a valuable 7lb.
Why: A maiden, but his latest performances suggest he’s knocking on the door. He stays well and is likely to be doing his best work late, making him a solid each-way player in the revised lineup.

🎯 Wildcard Pick: Cusack

Trainer: David Thompson | Jockey: Jonny Peate
Key Form: A seven-time course winner, successful over 1m here in January. Disappointed last time over a shorter trip, but should fare better back up to 1m2f.
Why: Course experience counts for plenty at Newcastle, and stepping back up in trip could spark a revival. If he can recapture his best, he’s got an each-way chance at decent odds.

With Book Of Life withdrawn, Rock Armour looks like the one to beat, while Rampant and Cusack now emerge as the main challengers.

🏇 Race 2 - 17:30 Newcastle (5f Handicap)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Sugar Baby

Trainer: Peter Niven | Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
Key Form: Returned to winning ways over C&D 12 days ago, taking advantage of a drop in class and well-positioned ride. Remains well-handicapped on his best form.
Why: The rider’s 5lb claim effectively cancels out his weight rise, leaving him still well-treated in the handicap. Has proven speed and a good draw in stall 3 to get a prominent early position. With a similar ride to last time, he should take plenty of beating.

2️⃣ Second Place: Beneficiary

Trainer: Liam Bailey | Jockey: J Garritty
Key Form: C&D winner, successful here in January. Has remained in consistent form, finishing fifth in a competitive race last time out.
Why: His early speed is a big asset, and he stays on well late, making him a solid each-way contender. With recent form holding up well, he looks a major player if getting a smooth run.

3️⃣ Third Place: Show Me Show Me

Trainer: Richard Fahey | Jockey: Ethan Tindall
Key Form: C&D winner who landed a Newcastle handicap in January and has remained in solid form since, including a close third over 6f here recently.
Why: The drop back to 5f looks ideal, given he ran out of steam over 6f last time. His strong early pace should put him in contention, and he is a solid each-way proposition.

🎯 Wildcard Pick: Doddie’s Impact

Trainer: Ollie Pears | Jockey: Harry Russell
Key Form: C&D winner in December but has struggled in his last two starts. Cheekpieces helped when he won previously, and they remain on today.
Why: While his recent form isn't inspiring, he has proven he can win here and remains on a competitive mark. If bouncing back to his December form, he could outrun his odds.

Sugar Baby looks the most likely winner, but Beneficiary and Show Me Show Me should be right there. Doddie’s Impact is the dark horse in an open contest.

🏇 Race 3 - 18:00 Newcastle (1m Maiden Stakes)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Saxonia

Trainer: Charlie Johnston | Jockey: Jonny Peate
Key Form: Showed significant improvement when third over C&D in a handicap 12 days ago, racing prominently and finishing strongly.
Why: This is a drop in class, and his recent sharpness and experience give him a clear advantage over his rivals. Likely to be stronger for that reappearance, and with more to come, he’s the standout selection.

2️⃣ Second Place: My Mate Beattie

Trainer: Ed Dunlop | Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Key Form: Good second in a Wolverhampton nursery over 1m last December. Disappointed at Southwell next time, but that run is forgivable.
Why: Consistent type at this level, and if returning to his Wolverhampton form, he’s likely to be the biggest threat to Saxonia.

3️⃣ Third Place: Absolutely Not

Trainer: Archie Watson | Jockey: Laura Coughlan
Key Form: Debuted at Wolverhampton last year, finishing fifth from an impossible position. Has been off for 12 months but should improve on that effort.
Why: Watson’s runners often progress well on second start, and if she’s sharper for her long layoff, she could make her presence felt.

🎯 Wildcard Pick: Sovereign Class

Trainer: Grant Tuer | Jockey: Tom Kiely-Marshall
Key Form: Second on debut over C&D, but then underwhelming fourth in a small field here last time.
Why: Still learning the game, but with two runs under her belt, she has experience on her side. If finding improvement, she could sneak into the frame at a price.

Saxonia looks the clear class angle here and should take this comfortably. My Mate Beattie and Absolutely Not look next best, while Sovereign Class is one to consider at bigger odds.

🏇 Race 4 - 18:30 Newcastle (5f Handicap)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Badri

Trainer: Michael Herrington | Jockey: George Wood
Key Form: C&D winner, returned to form with a solid win at Southwell (6f) last time, showing strong finishing speed. Remains well-handicapped on past exploits despite a 6lb rise.
Why: He’s got a proven turn of foot, and Newcastle's straight 5f suits his running style. With confidence back after his latest win, he looks the one to beat in this open contest.

2️⃣ Second Place: Paddy's Day

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler | Jockey: Alex Jary
Key Form: Three-time C&D winner, in flying form with back-to-back victories here, including a ¾-length win last time out.
Why: Hard to ignore his hot streak, and he’s well-drawn to attack from the front again. Newcastle specialists often thrive at this track, making him a key contender.

3️⃣ Third Place: Mon Na Slieve

Trainer: Kevin Ryan | Jockey: O McSweeney
Key Form: Fourth in a competitive Southwell race last time, wearing cheekpieces and tongue strap for the first time. Well-handicapped on previous best form.
Why: If those new aids continue to bring improvement, he could get closer to a big run here. A live each-way player if he builds on his latest effort.

🎯 Wildcard Pick: Mondammej

Trainer: Antony Brittain | Jockey: Harry Russell
Key Form: Three-time C&D winner, still holding form well with a solid third at Lingfield last time.
Why: Consistent and loves Newcastle, which makes him a sneaky value contender. If the pace is strong, he could be finishing best of all late on.

Badri looks the class act, but Paddy's Day’s course form is impossible to ignore. Mon Na Slieve and Mondammej offer each-way angles in this wide-open contest.

🏇 Race 5 - 19:00 Newcastle (1m Handicap)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Concert Boy

Trainer: Katie Scott | Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Key Form: Two-time course winner in 2025, including at this trip. Second over 7f here last Saturday, proving he’s still in top form.
Why: With Fentiman’s valuable 7lb claim, he’s effectively running off the same mark as his last win. Consistency, track form, and a handy weight pull make him the standout selection.

2️⃣ Second Place: Just Typical

Trainer: Ian Williams | Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh
Key Form: Won at Southwell in January, then ran too freely over C&D last time when not getting a clear run.
Why: Forgivable last run, and with a smoother trip, he should be right in contention. Remains well-handicapped on previous efforts.

3️⃣ Third Place: Urban Dandy

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood | Jockey: D C Costello
Key Form: Course winner and recent second over C&D in a classified race. Yet to win since 2023, but knocking on the door.
Why: Another solid course performer who often runs well without winning. With a bit of luck, he could land in the frame again.

🎯 Wildcard Pick: Odd Socks Havana

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies | Jockey: Jonny Peate
Key Form: Four-time C&D winner who shaped well when fourth over 7f last time.
Why: Loves this track and could be peaking again. If he finds his best form, he’s a dangerous outsider at decent odds.

Concert Boy is the most reliable option, while Just Typical and Urban Dandy look major contenders. Odd Socks Havana is the dark horse who could surprise.

🏇 Race 6 - 19:30 Newcastle (7f Handicap)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Mereside Madness

Trainer: David & Nicola Barron | Jockey: George Wood
Key Form: Three-time C&D winner, including an impressive 1¼-length win last time out when travelling powerfully through the race.
Why: Back from a short break last time, he looked better than ever, and given how strongly he finished, he’s got every chance of following up.

2️⃣ Second Place: Tasever

Trainer: Patrick Morris | Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Key Form: Four-time course winner, including two victories last month. Runner-up to Mereside Madness last time but better off at the weights now.
Why: He’s super consistent and will be right there again, but even with the weight swing, he might still struggle to reverse the form.

3️⃣ Third Place: Streak Lightning

Trainer: Ruth Carr | Jockey: Jonny Peate
Key Form: Three-time C&D winner, usually runs well here, and although well beaten behind Mereside Madness last time, he’s capable of better.
Why: His hold-up style meant he was never really in contention last time. If given a stronger ride, he could get closer this time.

🎯 Wildcard Pick: Havana Prince

Trainer: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood | Jockey: D C Costello
Key Form: Progressive on turf last summer, winning three of his last four starts before a break. First run in 7 months.
Why: He’s got potential, but fitness is a question. If he’s sharp first time out, he could go well at a price.

Mereside Madness looks the one to beat, with Tasever the main danger. Streak Lightning should improve, while Havana Prince could surprise if fit after a layoff.

🏇 Race 7 - 20:00 Newcastle (6f Handicap)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Hurstwood

Trainer: Peter Niven | Jockey: Warren Fentiman
⭐ Key Form: C&D winner, unlucky fifth last time when denied a clear run. Well-handicapped off 3lb lower than his last winning mark.
🔥 Why: He went through the race well last time and with a clean trip, he has a strong chance to get his head in front.

2️⃣ Second Place: Just Ten High

Trainer: Dylan Cunha | Jockey: Jonny Peate
⭐ Key Form: Two wins in last three starts, including a strong-finishing victory at Wolverhampton 17 days ago.
🔥 Why: He’s in flying form, strong at the finish, and handles 6f well. A big player again.

3️⃣ Third Place: Captain Vallo

Trainer: Phillip Makin | Jockey: Harrison Shaw
⭐ Key Form: Three-time C&D winner, unlucky fourth last time when denied a run in a competitive race.
🔥 Why: If he gets a clear passage, he’ll be finishing fast and could grab a place.

🎯 Wildcard Pick: Kats Bob

Trainer: Ruth Carr | Jockey: William Pyle
⭐ Key Form: C&D winner, now making his first start for new trainer after mixed form at his last yard.
🔥 Why: If revitalised, he could outrun his odds and sneak into the places.

🏆 Verdict:

✅ Hurstwood looks ready to strike off a competitive mark.
✅ Just Ten High is ultra-consistent and should be in the mix again.
✅ Captain Vallo needs luck in running, but has the ability.
✅ Kats Bob could be a dark horse on stable debut.

🔥 Hurstwood the pick for the win, Just Ten High and Captain Vallo in contention!

🏇 Race 8 - 20:30 Newcastle (6f Handicap)

1️⃣ Win Selection: Rebeccas Girl

Trainer: Gary Rutherford | Jockey: Warren Fentiman
⭐ Key Form: Back-to-back wins at Newcastle, latest over 7f just 5 days ago, and races off the same mark.
🔥 Why: She dug deep to win last time and stays well, meaning she'll be strong at the finish. Big chance for the hat-trick.

2️⃣ Second Place: Conquest Of Power

Trainer: Mark Usher | Jockey: Harry Burns
⭐ Key Form: Won comfortably at Lingfield 4 days ago, second over 6f here before that, and only 5lb higher.
🔥 Why: He’s in good form, and his latest win suggests improvement. A solid danger to the favourite.

3️⃣ Third Place: Kings Crown

Trainer: Michael Dods | Jockey: Rhys Elliott
⭐ Key Form: Won at Southwell last month, ran well for third over this C&D last week.
🔥 Why: He's back in form, and stays competitive at this level.

🎯 Wildcard Pick: Profit Street

Trainer: Nigel Tinkler | Jockey: Alex Jary
⭐ Key Form: Course winner, but seventh last time in a tough race.
🔥 Why: Capable of hitting the frame, but needs a step forward.

🏆 Verdict:

✅ Rebeccas Girl is the one to beat – same mark, great form, stays well.
✅ Conquest Of Power could challenge, recent winner, in form.
✅ Kings Crown has each-way appeal after a strong recent run.
✅ Profit Street could place at a price if bouncing back.

🔥 Rebeccas Girl for the win, Conquest Of Power and Kings Crown to challenge!

"May you never be a penny short of a full wallet."

ChatGPT said:

Now that is a blessing I’ll gladly take! 🙌 May your accas always land, your favourites stay strong, and your pint never run dry on a good race day. 🍻🏇💰

Keep the wit sharp and the bets smarter—the universe still owes us all a winning streak! 😆🔥